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Has Latin American Inequality Changed Direction?: Looking Over the Long Run

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Development Economics; Economic Growth; Social Structure, Social Inequality; Political Economy; Latin American Culture

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Tipo de recurso:

libros

ISBN impreso

978-3-319-44620-2

ISBN electrónico

978-3-319-44621-9

Editor responsable

Springer Nature

País de edición

Estados Unidos

Fecha de publicación

Tabla de contenidos

Fiscal Redistribution in Latin America Since the Nineteenth Century

Leticia Arroyo Abad; Peter H. Lindert

This chapter presents the first multi-country history of how Latin American government spending and taxes have reshaped the distribution of income in the long run. We combine our new historical time series for six countries with impressive recent studies of their fiscal redistribution patterns in the twenty-first century. The rising share of social spending has not been directed strongly toward the poor. The swings in fiscal redistribution in Chilean and Argentine history have been particularly dramatic. Latin America as a whole stands out as a region with a low rate of investment in education and infrastructure, redistributing away from future generations toward pensioners. Pension commitments have locked the region’s governments into prolonged pension deficits, a strong case of historical path dependence.

Part I - Long-Run Trends | Pp. 243-282

Inequality in Latin America: ECLAC’s Perspective

Verónica Amarante; Antonio Prado

Equality has been at the center of ECLAC´s analysis of the region since structuralist times. In those pioneering writings, the distribution of assets and the concentration of power in the hands of elites were crucial aspects to understand (the lack of) equality in the region. Following this tradition, the last three documents that the institution submitted for consideration by the Governments of Latin America and the Caribbean at its three last sessions have put equality back in the center of the regional agenda, expanding the conception of equality beyond distributive fairness—whose scope tends to be confined to the distribution of transferable, quantifiable resources—taking in other dimensions and considering equality in a “relational” context of socialization, autonomy, and recognition.

Part II - The Recent Inequality Downturn | Pp. 285-315

The Inequality Story in Latin America and the Caribbean: Searching for an Explanation

Augusto de la Torre; Julian Messina; Joana Silva

Income inequality is a salient economic malaise in Latin America and the Caribbean, where for decades it has been higher than in any other region in the world (Williamson 2015). A growing body of literature suggests that after a long period of growing or stagnant inequality, the trajectory of household income inequality shows a visible kink around 2003—rising during the 1990s and until about 2002, when it started to descend, a trend that was particularly steep during the boom period of 2003–2011 before flattening out during the post-2011 slowdown. This trajectory contrasts with that of Latin America and the Caribbean in previous periods or other regions in the same period (Alvaredo and Gasparini 2015; De Ferranti et al. 2004; De la Torre et al. 2014; Gasparini and Lustig 2011; López-Calva and Lustig 2010).

Part II - The Recent Inequality Downturn | Pp. 317-338

The Political Economy of Inequality at the Top in Contemporary Chile

Diego Sánchez-Ancochea

The recent focus on top incomes at the international level (Atkinson and Piketty 2010; Piketty 2014; Piketty and Saez 2006) should help placing the spotlight on Latin America. The region has traditionally been characterised by high concentration of income and political influence of the elite (World Bank 2003). The interaction between economic and political concentration has led to periodic social conflicts and often contributed to institutional weakness. Social policy has also failed to redistribute income significantly, benefiting small segments of the population instead—as shown by Arroyo and Lindert in their contribution to this volume.

Part II - The Recent Inequality Downturn | Pp. 339-363

Structural Change and the Fall of Income Inequality in Latin America: Agricultural Development, Inter-sectoral Duality, and the Kuznets Curve

Martin Andersson; Andrés Palacio

One oft-noted observation of the twentieth-century economic history of Latin America in general and of the import-substitution industrialization strategy (ISI) in particular is the neglect of agriculture and the related structural heterogeneity (Baer 1972; Kay 2002; Bertola and Ocampo 2012). In Latin America, the transformation of agriculture has not been regarded as a centerpiece of the adopted development strategies and, despite some attempts at rural reform, seldom promoted. It might be fair to say that biases against the rural sector have been a defining characteristic of Latin American economic development (Lipton 1977; Griffin et al. 2002; Johnston and Kilby 1975; Reynolds 1996). The dual structure remained even after the ISI period and the switch to the new economic model. A stylized fact is that the continent, even beyond the so-called of the 1980s, has been in a state of stagnation: weak structural transformation, slow growth, and consistently unequal distribution of income (Bulmer-Thomas 2005). Since the early 2000s, however, many economic indicators, as reported from Economic Outlooks and Reports by the World Bank, IMF or OECD, have been pointing in another direction: steady and relatively high income growth per capita, advances on the commodity export markets, and increasing inflows of foreign direct investments. In terms of social indicators, improvements have also been made: the number of people classified as middle class now surpasses the number of poor; poverty declined from 152 million people living below 2.5 dollars a day in 2000 to around 83 million people in 2010 (World Bank 2015); and income inequality in the last decade declined in 15 out of 16 countries with comparable data at a rate of 1.1 % per year (Lustig et al. 2013).

Part II - The Recent Inequality Downturn | Pp. 365-385

Fiscal Policy and Inequality in Latin America, 1960–2012

Judith Clifton; Daniel Díaz-Fuentes; Julio Revuelta

Latin America is a region which has been plagued with persistent problems of social cohesion linked to inequality (Bértola and Ocampo 2012; Fitzgerald et al. 2011; Huber et al. 2006; Milanovic and Muñoz de Bustillo 2008; Williamson 2010). Over the long term, the excessive degree of inequality in Latin America was considered an anomaly in international comparisons (Deininger and Squire 1996, 1998). However, over the last two decades, income inequality actually decreased across most countries in the region, though it still remains above the world average (ECLAC 2010; Cornia 2012). With this, Latin America has emerged as a positive anomaly, going against the grain of recent world trends which are heading towards greater inequality (Hvistendahl 2014, Ravallion 2014).

Part II - The Recent Inequality Downturn | Pp. 387-406

Challenges for Social Policy in a Less Favorable Macroeconomic Context

Suzanne Duryea; Andrew Morrison; Carmen Pagés; Ferdinando Regalia; Norbert Schady; Emiliana Vegas; Héctor Salazar

Over the last decade and a half Latin America and the Caribbean have made notable advances in reducing poverty and improving social outcomes. Extreme poverty fell by more than a third from 19.3 % in 2002 to 12.0 % in 2014; and inequality, as measured by the Gini coefficient, fell from 0.56 to 0.51. In parallel, child mortality fell from 32 to 18 deaths per 100,000 children from 2000 to 2013 (see UN IGME 2014). By 2013, school attendance rates among 6–11-year-olds reached 98 %, and among 12–17-year-olds rose to 87 %. Although gaps remain across income and demographic groups, the biggest advances in reducing chronic malnutrition and improving school age-attendance profiles occurred for children from the lowest socioeconomic groups.

Part II - The Recent Inequality Downturn | Pp. 407-419