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Título de Acceso Abierto

Modelado de epidemias utilizando sistemas auto-organizados

Leonardo Rafael López Leonardo Luis Giovanini Nara Guisoni Gustavo Sibona Marcelo Kuperman Pablo Beldoménico

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Resumen/Descripción – provisto por el repositorio digital
This thesis presents a framework that consists of a modular model built from basic units that define its dynamics based on behavior. The behavior of these units consists of three blocks: individual behavior, social behavior and epidemiological behavior. Individual behavior can be seen as the result of applying a set of rules and systems based on fuzzy logic. Social behavior refers to the actions individuals take as a result of interactions with other individuals. The epidemiological behavior that results from the health status of the individual is the third factor that determines overall behavior. The proposed framework is then very attractive to model different types of epidemics in which the behavior of individuals, their relationships and their environment play a crucial role. The construction of the behavior of the agents from three blocks gives the model a wide range of applications, since different situations can be modeled simply by making changes in some of its blocks. The model was validated using influenza epidemiological data and in addition different control scenarios are proposed that allow to evaluate the adaptive capacity of the approach.
Palabras clave – provistas por el repositorio digital

Modelling; Self-organization; Contact-network; Celular automata; Individuals; Epidemics; Modelado; Auto-organización; Redes de contactos; Autómata celular; Individuos; Epidemia

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No requiere 2017 Biblioteca Virtual de la Universidad Nacional del Litoral (SNRD) acceso abierto

Información

Tipo de recurso:

tesis

Idiomas de la publicación

  • español castellano

País de edición

Argentina

Fecha de publicación