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Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis: State of the Art Surveys

JosÉ Figueira Salvatore Greco Matthias Ehrogott

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Institución detectada Año de publicación Navegá Descargá Solicitá
No detectada 2005 SpringerLink

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Tipo de recurso:

libros

ISBN impreso

978-0-387-23067-2

ISBN electrónico

978-0-387-23081-8

Editor responsable

Springer Nature

País de edición

Reino Unido

Fecha de publicación

Información sobre derechos de publicación

© Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. 2005

Tabla de contenidos

Paradigms and Challenges

Bernard Roy

The purpose of this introductory part is to present an overall view of what MCDA is today. In Section 1, I will attempt to bring answers to questions such as: what is it reasonable to expect from MCDA? Why decision aiding is more often multicriteria than monocriterion? What are the main limitations to objectivity? Section 2 will be devoted to a presentation of the conceptual architecture that constitutes the main keys for analyzing and structuring problem situations. Decision aiding cannot and must not be envisaged jointly with a hypothesis of perfect knowledge. Different ways for apprehending the various sources of imperfect knowledge will be introduced in Section 3. A robustness analysis is necessary in most cases. The crucial question of how can we take into account all criteria comprehensively in order to compare potential actions to one another will be tackled in Section 4. In this introductory part, I will only present a general framework for positioning the main operational approaches that exist today. In Section 5, I will discuss some more philosophical aspects of MCDA. For providing some aid in a decision context, we have to choose among different paths which one seems to be the most appropriate, or how to combine some of them: the path of realism which leads to the quest for a discussion for discovering, the axiomatic path which is often associated with the quest of norms for prescribing, or the path of constructivism which goes hand in hand with the quest of working hypothesis for recommending.

Palabras clave: Multiple criteria decision aiding; imperfect knowledge; aggregation procedures.

I - An Overview of MCDA Techniques Today | Pp. 3-24

Preference Modelling

Meltem Öztürké; Alexis Tsoukiàs; Philippe Vincke

This chapter provides the reader with a presentation of preference modelling fundamental notions as well as some recent results in this field. Preference modelling is an inevitable step in a variety of fields: economy, sociology, psychology, mathematical programming, even medicine, archaeology, and obviously decision analysis. Our notation and some basic definitions, such as those of binary relation. properties and ordered sets, are presented at the beginning of the chapter. We start by discussing different reasons for constructing a model or preference. We then go through a number of issues that influence the construction of preference models. Different formalisations besides classical logic such as fuzzy sets and non-classical logics become necessary. We then present different types of preference structures reflecting the behavior of a decision-maker: classical, extended and valued ones. It is relevant to have a numerical representation of preferences: functional representations, value functions. The concepts of thresholds and minimal representation are also introduced in this section. In Section 8, we briefly explore the concept of deontic logic (logic of preference) and other formalisms associated with “compact representation of preferences” introduced for special purposes. We end the chapter with some concluding remarks.

Palabras clave: Preference modelling; decision aiding; uncertainty; fuzzy sets; non classical logic; ordered relations; binary relations.

II - Foundations of MCDA | Pp. 27-59

Conjoint Measurement Tools for MCDM

Denis Bouyssou; Marc Pirlot

This paper offers a brief and nontechnical introduction to the use of conjoint measurement in multiple criteria decision making. The emphasis is on the, central, additive value function model. We outline its axiomatic foundations and present various possible assessment techniques to implement it. Some extensions of this model, e.g. nonadditive models or models tolerating intransitive preferences are then briefly reviewed.

Palabras clave: Conjoint Measurement; additive value function; preference modelling.

II - Foundations of MCDA | Pp. 73-112

Electre Methods

José Figueira; Vincent Mousseau; Bernard Roy

Over the last three decades a large body of research in the field of ELECTRE family methods appeared. This research has been conducted by several researchers mainly in Europe. The purpose of this chapter is to present a survey of the ELECTRE methods since their first appearance in mid-sixties, when ELECTRE I was proposed by Bernard Roy and his colleagues at SEMA consultancy company. The chapter is organized in five sections. The first section presents a brief history of ELECTRE methods. The second section is devoted to the main features of ELECTRE methods. The third section describes the different ELECTRE methods existing in the literature according to the three main problematics: choosing, ranking and sorting. The fourth section presents the recent developments and future issues on ELECTRE methods. Finally, the fifth section is devoted to the software and applications. An extensive and up-to-date bibliography is also provided in the end of this chapter.

Palabras clave: Multiple criteria decision aiding; outranking approaches; methods.

III - Outranking Methods | Pp. 133-153

Promethee Methods

Jean-Pierre Brans; Bertrand Mareschal

This paper gives an overview of the PROMETHEE-GAIA methodology for MCDA. It starts with general comments on multicriteria problems, stressing that a multicriteria problem cannot be treated without additional information related to the preferences and the priorities of the decision-makers. The information requested by PROMETHEE and GAIA is particularly clear and easy to define for both decision-makers and analysts. It consists in a preference function associated to each criterion as well as weights describing their relative importance. The PROMETHEE I, the PROMETHEE II complete ranking, as well as the GAIA visual interactive module are then described and commented. The two next sections are devoted to the PROMETHEE VI sensitivity analysis procedure (human brain) and to the PROMETHEE V procedure for multiple selection of alternatives under constraints. An overview of the PROMETHEE GDSS procedure for group decision making is then given. Finally the DECISION LAB software implementation of the PROMETHEE-GAIA methodology is described using a numerical example.

Palabras clave: MCDA; outranking methods; PROMETHEE-GAIA; DECISION LAB.

III - Outranking Methods | Pp. 163-186

Other Outranking Approaches

Jean-Marc Martel; Benedetto Matarazzo

In this chapter, we shortly describe some outranking methods other than ELECTRE and PROMETHEE. All these methods (QUALIFLEX, REGIME, ORESTE, ARGUS, EVAMIX, TACTIC and MELCHIOR) propose definitions and computations of particular binary relations, more or less linked to the basic idea of the original ELECTRE methods. Beside them, we will also describe other outranking methods (MAPPAC, PRAGMA, IDRA and PACMAN) that have been developed in the framework of the Pairwise Criterion Comparison Approach (PCCA) methodology, whose peculiar feature is to split the binary relations construction phase in two steps: in the first one, each pair of actions is compared with respect to two criteria a time; in the second step, all these partial preference indices are aggregated in order to obtain the final binary relations. Finally, one outranking method for stochastic data (the Martel and Zaras’ method) is presented, based on the use of stochastic dominance relations between each pair of alternatives.

Palabras clave: Multiple criteria decision analysis; outranking methods; pairwise criteria comparison approach.

III - Outranking Methods | Pp. 197-259

Maut — Multiattribute Utility Theory

James S. Dyer

In this chapter, we provide a review of multiattribute utility theory. We begin with a brief review of single-attribute preference theory, and we explore preference representations that measure a decision maker’s strength of preference and her preferences for risky alternatives. We emphasize the distinction between these two cases, and then explore the implications for multiattribute preference models. We describe the multiattribute decision problem, and discuss the conditions that allow a multiattribute preference function to be decomposed into additive and multiplicative forms under conditions of certainty and risk. The relationships among these distinct types of multiattribute preference functions are then explored, and issues related to their assessment and applications are surveyed.

Palabras clave: Multiattribute utility theory; additive value functions; preference modeling.

IV - Multiattribute Utility and Value Theories | Pp. 265-292

UTA Methods

Yannis Siskos; Evangelos Grigoroudis; Nikolaos F. Matsatsinis

UTA methods refer to the philosophy of assessing a set of value or utility functions, assuming the axiomatic basis of MAUT and adopting the preference disaggregation principle. UTA methodology uses linear programming techniques in order to optimally infer additive value/utility functions, so that these functions are as consistent as possible with the global decision-maker’s preferences (inference principle). The main objective of this chapter is to analytically present the UTA method and its variants and to summarize the progress made in this field. The historical background and the philosophy of the aggregation-disaggregation approach are firstly given. The detailed presentation of the basic UTA algorithm is presented, including discussion on the stability and sensitivity analyses. Several variants of the UTA method, which incorporate differentforms of optimality criteria, are also discussed. The implementation of the UTA methods is illustrated by a general overview of UTA-based DSSs, as well as real-world decision-making applications. Finally, several potential future research developments are discussed.

Palabras clave: UTA methods; preference disaggregation; ordinal regression; additive utility; multicriteria analysis.

IV - Multiattribute Utility and Value Theories | Pp. 297-334

The Analytic Hierarchy and Analytic Network Processes for the Measurement of Intangible Criteria and for Decision-Making

Thomas L. Saaty

The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and its generalization to dependence and feedback, the Analytic Network Process (ANP), are theories of relative measurement of intangible criteria. With this approach to relative measurement, a scale of priorities is derived from pairwise comparison measurements only after the elements to be measured are known. The ability to do pairwise comparisons is our biological heritage and we need it to cope with a world where everything is relative and constantly changing. In traditional measurement one has a scale that one applies to measure any element that comes along that has the property the scale is for, and elements are measured one by one, not by comparing them with each other. In the AHP paired comparisons are made with judgments using numerical values taken from the AHP absolute fundamental scale of 1-9. A scale of relative values is derived from all these paired comparisons and it also belongs to an absolute scale that is invariant under the identity transformation like the system of real numbers. The AHP/ANP is useful for making multicriteria decisions involving benefits, opportunities, costs and risks. The ideas are developed in stages and illustrated with examples of real life decisions. The subject is transparent and despite some mathematics, it is easy to understand why it is done the way it is along the lines discussed here.

Palabras clave: Analytic Hierarchy Process; decision-making; prioritization; negative priorities; rating; benefits; opportunities; costs; risks.

IV - Multiattribute Utility and Value Theories | Pp. 345-405

On the Mathematical Foundation of MACBETH

Carlos A. Bana e Costa; Jean-Marie De Corte; Jean-Claude Vansnick

MACBETH (Measuring Attractiveness by a Categorical Based Evaluation Technique) is a multicriteria decision analysis approach that requires only qualitative judgements about differences of value to help an individual or a group quantify the relative attractiveness of options. This chapter presents an up-to-date survey of the mathematical foundations of MACBETH. Reference is also made to real-world applications and an extensive bibliography, spanning back to the early 1990’s, is provided.

Palabras clave: MACBETH; questioning procedure; qualitative judgements; judgmental inconsistency; cardinal value measurement; interaction.

IV - Multiattribute Utility and Value Theories | Pp. 409-437