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Monetary and Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area

Michael Carlberg

Resumen/Descripción – provisto por la editorial

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Palabras clave – provistas por la editorial

Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics; Public Economics; International Economics

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Institución detectada Año de publicación Navegá Descargá Solicitá
No detectada 2006 SpringerLink

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Tipo de recurso:

libros

ISBN impreso

978-3-540-29799-4

ISBN electrónico

978-3-540-29800-7

Editor responsable

Springer Nature

País de edición

Reino Unido

Fecha de publicación

Información sobre derechos de publicación

© Springer Berlin · Heidelberg 2006

Cobertura temática

Tabla de contenidos

Introduction

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

- Introduction | Pp. 1-10

The Small Monetary Union of Two Countries

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part One - Basic Models of a Monetary Union | Pp. 13-19

The World as a Whole

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part One - Basic Models of a Monetary Union | Pp. 20-23

The World of Two Monetary Regions

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part One - Basic Models of a Monetary Union | Pp. 24-32

The Large Monetary Union of Two Countries

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part One - Basic Models of a Monetary Union | Pp. 33-41

Monetary Competition between Europe and America

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part Two - Monetary Interactions between Europe and America | Pp. 45-70

Monetary Cooperation between Europe and America

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part Two - Monetary Interactions between Europe and America | Pp. 71-82

Fiscal Competition between Germany and France

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part Three - Fiscal Interactions between Germany and France | Pp. 85-98

Fiscal Cooperation between Germany and France

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part Three - Fiscal Interactions between Germany and France | Pp. 99-104

Competition between European Central Bank, German Government, and French Government

Michael Carlberg

The fact that perfect foresight is possible in a random environment of an exchange economy seems to have been overlooked in the literature. This chapter demonstrates that forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight exist under standard assumptions. Using the methodology of Chapter 5, these socalled perfect forecasting rules can successfully be estimated from historical data by means of nonparametric estimations. The censoring of the approximated forecasting rules assures that the system is kept stable at all stages of the estimation procedure and that the resulting process satisfies the necessary stochastic properties. It should be noted that the method required neither the existence of a perfect forecasting rule nor its contraction property.

Part Four - Monetary and Fiscal Interactions Intermediate Models | Pp. 107-119