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Innovations in Derivatives Markets

Kathrin Glau ; Zorana Grbac ; Matthias Scherer ; Rudi Zagst (eds.)

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Quantitative Finance; Banking; Statistics for Business/Economics/Mathematical Finance/Insurance; Mathematical Modeling and Industrial Mathematics; Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes; Financial Engineering

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Tipo de recurso:

libros

ISBN impreso

978-3-319-33445-5

ISBN electrónico

978-3-319-33446-2

Editor responsable

Springer Nature

País de edición

Reino Unido

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© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2016

Tabla de contenidos

Nonlinearity Valuation Adjustment

Damiano Brigo; Qing D. Liu; Andrea Pallavicini; David Sloth

We develop a consistent, arbitrage-free framework for valuing derivative trades with collateral, counterparty credit risk, and funding costs. Credit, debit, liquidity, and funding valuation adjustments (CVA, DVA, LVA, and FVA) are simply introduced as modifications to the payout cash flows of the trade position. The framework is flexible enough to accommodate actual trading complexities such as asymmetric collateral and funding rates, replacement close-out, and re-hypothecation of posted collateral—all aspects which are often neglected. The generalized valuation equation takes the form of a forward–backward SDE or semi-linear PDE. Nevertheless, it may be recast as a set of iterative equations which can be efficiently solved by our proposed least-squares Monte Carlo algorithm. We implement numerically the case of an equity option and show how its valuation changes when including the above effects. In the paper we also discuss the financial impact of the proposed valuation framework and of nonlinearity more generally. This is fourfold: First, the valuation equation is only based on observable market rates, leaving the value of a derivatives transaction invariant to any theoretical risk-free rate. Secondly, the presence of funding costs makes the valuation problem a highly recursive and nonlinear one. Thus, credit and funding risks are non-separable in general, and despite common practice in banks, CVA, DVA, and FVA cannot be treated as purely additive adjustments without running the risk of double counting. To quantify the valuation error that can be attributed to double counting, we introduce a “nonlinearity valuation adjustment” (NVA) and show that its magnitude can be significant under asymmetric funding rates and replacement close-out at default. Thirdly, as trading parties cannot observe each others’ liquidity policies nor their respective funding costs, the bilateral nature of a derivative price breaks down. The value of a trade to a counterparty will not be just the opposite of the value seen by the bank. Finally, valuation becomes aggregation-dependent and portfolio values cannot simply be added up. This has operational consequences for banks, calling for a holistic, consistent approach across trading desks and asset classes.

Part I - Valuation Adjustments | Pp. 3-35

Analysis of Nonlinear Valuation Equations Under Credit and Funding Effects

Damiano Brigo; Marco Francischello; Andrea Pallavicini

We study conditions for existence, uniqueness, and invariance of the comprehensive nonlinear valuation equations first introduced in Pallavicini et al. (Funding valuation adjustment: a consistent framework including CVA, DVA, collateral, netting rules and re-hypothecation, 2011, []). These equations take the form of semi-linear PDEs and Forward–Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (FBSDEs). After summarizing the cash flows definitions allowing us to extend valuation to credit risk and default closeout, including collateral margining with possible re-hypothecation, and treasury funding costs, we show how such cash flows, when present-valued in an arbitrage-free setting, lead to semi-linear PDEs or more generally to FBSDEs. We provide conditions for existence and uniqueness of such solutions in a classical sense, discussing the role of the hedging strategy. We show an invariance theorem stating that even though we start from a risk-neutral valuation approach based on a locally risk-free bank account growing at a risk-free rate, our final valuation equations do not depend on the risk-free rate. Indeed, our final semi-linear PDE or FBSDEs and their classical solutions depend only on contractual, market or treasury rates and we do not need to proxy the risk-free rate with a real market rate, since it acts as an instrumental variable. The equations’ derivations, their numerical solutions, the related XVA valuation adjustments with their overlap, and the invariance result had been analyzed numerically and extended to central clearing and multiple discount curves in a number of previous works, including Brigo and Pallavicini (J. Financ. Eng. 1(1):1–60 (2014), []), Pallavicini and Brigo (Interest-rate modelling in collateralized markets: multiple curves, credit-liquidity effects, CCPs, 2011, []), Pallavicini et al. (Funding valuation adjustment: a consistent framework including cva, dva, collateral, netting rules and re-hypothecation, 2011, []), Pallavicini et al. (Funding, collateral and hedging: uncovering the mechanics and the subtleties of funding valuation adjustments, 2012, []), and Brigo et al. (Nonlinear valuation under collateral, credit risk and funding costs: a numerical case study extending Black–Scholes, []).

Part I - Valuation Adjustments | Pp. 37-52

Nonlinear Monte Carlo Schemes for Counterparty Risk on Credit Derivatives

Stéphane Crépey; Tuyet Mai Nguyen

Two nonlinear Monte Carlo schemes, namely, the linear Monte Carlo expansion with randomization of Fujii and Takahashi (Int J Theor Appl Financ 15(5):1250034(24), 2012 [], Q J Financ 2(3), 1250015(24), 2012, []) and the marked branching diffusion scheme of Henry-Labordère (Risk Mag 25(7), 67–73, 2012, []), are compared in terms of applicability and numerical behavior regarding counterparty risk computations on credit derivatives. This is done in two dynamic copula models of portfolio credit risk: the dynamic Gaussian copula model and the model in which default dependence stems from joint defaults. For such high-dimensional and nonlinear pricing problems, more standard deterministic or simulation/regression schemes are ruled out by Bellman’s “curse of dimensionality” and only purely forward Monte Carlo schemes can be used.

Part I - Valuation Adjustments | Pp. 53-82

Tight Semi-model-free Bounds on (Bilateral) CVA

Jördis Helmers; Jan-J. Rückmann; Ralf Werner

In the last decade, counterparty default risk has experienced an increased interest both by academics as well as practitioners. This was especially motivated by the market turbulences and the financial crises over the past decade which have highlighted the importance of counterparty default risk for uncollateralized derivatives. After a succinct introduction to the topic, it is demonstrated that standard models can be combined to derive semi-model-free tight lower and upper bounds on bilateral CVA (BCVA). It will be shown in detail how these bounds can be easily and efficiently calculated by the solution of two corresponding linear optimization problems.

Part I - Valuation Adjustments | Pp. 83-101

CVA with Wrong-Way Risk in the Presence of Early Exercise

Roberto Baviera; Gaetano La Bua; Paolo Pellicioli

Hull–White approach of CVA with embedded WWR (Hull and White, Financ. Anal. J. 68:58-69, 2012, []) can be easily applied also to portfolios of derivatives with early termination features. The tree-based approach described in Baviera et al. (Int. J. Financ. Eng. 2015, []) allows to deal with American or Bermudan options in a straightforward way. Extensive numerical results highlight the nontrivial impact of early exercise on CVA.

Part I - Valuation Adjustments | Pp. 103-116

Simultaneous Hedging of Regulatory and Accounting CVA

Christoph Berns

As a consequence of the recent financial crisis, Basel III introduced a new capital charge, the CVA risk charge to cover the risk of future CVA fluctuations (CVA volatility). Although Basel III allows for hedging the CVA risk charge, mismatches between the regulatory (Basel III) and accounting (IFRS) rules lead to the fact that hedging the CVA risk charge is challenging. The reason is that the hedge instruments reducing the CVA risk charge cause additional Profit and Loss (P&L) volatility. In the present article, we propose a solution which optimizes the CVA risk charge and the P&L volatility from hedging.

Part I - Valuation Adjustments | Pp. 117-132

Capital Optimization Through an Innovative CVA Hedge

Michael Hünseler; Dirk Schubert

One of the lessons of the financial crisis as of late was the inherent credit risk attached to the value of derivatives. Since not all derivatives can be cleared by central counterparties, a significant amount of OTC derivatives will be subject to increased regulatory capital charges. These charges cover both current and future unexpected losses; the capital costs for derivatives transactions can become substantial if not prohibitive. At the same time, capital optimization through CDS hedging of counterparty risks will result in a hedge position beyond the economic risk (“overhedging”) required to meet Basel II/III rules. In addition, IFRS accounting rules again differ from Basel, creating a mismatch when hedging CVA. Even worse, CVA hedging using CDS may introduce significant profit and loss volatility while satisfying the conditions for capital relief. An innovative approach to hedging CVA aims to solve these issues.

Part I - Valuation Adjustments | Pp. 133-146

FVA and Electricity Bill Valuation Adjustment—Much of a Difference?

Damiano Brigo; Christian P. Fries; John Hull; Matthias Scherer; Daniel Sommer; Ralf Werner

Pricing counterparty credit risk, although being in the focus for almost a decade by now, is far from being resolved. It is highly controversial if any valuation adjustment besides the basic CVA should be taken into account, and if so, for what purpose. Even today, the handling of CVA, DVA, FVA, differs between the regulatory, the accounting, and the economic point of view. Eventually, if an agreement is reached that CVA has to be taken into account, it remains unclear if CVA can be modelled linearly, or if nonlinear models need to be resorted to. Finally, industry practice and implementation differ in several aspects. Hence, a unified theory and treatment of FVA and alike is not yet tangible. The conference , held at Technische Universität München in March/April 2015, featured a panel discussion with panelists representing different points of view: John Hull, who argues that FVA might not exist at all; in contrast to Christian Fries, who sees the need of all relevant costs to be covered within valuation but not within adjustments. Damiano Brigo emphasises the nonlinearity of (most) valuation adjustments and is concerned about overlapping adjustments and double-counting. Finally, Daniel Sommer puts the exit price in the focus. The following (mildly edited) record of the panel discussion repeats the main arguments of the discussants—ultimately culminating in the awareness that if everybody charges an electricity bill valuation adjustment, it has to become part of any quoted price.

Part I - Valuation Adjustments | Pp. 147-168

Multi-curve Modelling Using Trees

John Hull; Alan White

Since 2008 the valuation of derivatives has evolved so that OIS discounting rather than LIBOR discounting is used. Payoffs from interest rate derivatives usually depend on LIBOR. This means that the valuation of interest rate derivatives depends on the evolution of two different term structures. The spread between OIS and LIBOR rates is often assumed to be constant or deterministic. This paper explores how this assumption can be relaxed. It shows how well-established methods used to represent one-factor interest rate models in the form of a binomial or trinomial tree can be extended so that the OIS rate and a LIBOR rate are jointly modelled in a three-dimensional tree. The procedures are illustrated with the valuation of spread options and Bermudan swap options. The tree is constructed so that LIBOR swap rates are matched.

Part II - Fixed Income Modeling | Pp. 171-189

Derivative Pricing for a Multi-curve Extension of the Gaussian, Exponentially Quadratic Short Rate Model

Zorana Grbac; Laura Meneghello; Wolfgang J. Runggaldier

The recent financial crisis has led to so-called multi-curve models for the term structure. Here we study a multi-curve extension of short rate models where, in addition to the short rate itself, we introduce short rate spreads. In particular, we consider a Gaussian factor model where the short rate and the spreads are second order polynomials of Gaussian factor processes. This leads to an exponentially quadratic model class that is less well known than the exponentially affine class. In the latter class the factors enter linearly and for positivity one considers square root factor processes. While the square root factors in the affine class have more involved distributions, in the quadratic class the factors remain Gaussian and this leads to various advantages, in particular for derivative pricing. After some preliminaries on martingale modeling in the multi-curve setup, we concentrate on pricing of linear and optional derivatives. For linear derivatives, we exhibit an adjustment factor that allows one to pass from pre-crisis single curve values to the corresponding post-crisis multi-curve values.

Part II - Fixed Income Modeling | Pp. 191-226